Tag: Primary Madness

By The Numbers: 50, 43 and 24

Well, this is interesting.

From today’s Washington Post:

And despite widespread impressions that Obama is banking on unreliable first-time voters, Clinton depends on them heavily as well: About half of her supporters said they have never attended a caucus. Forty-three percent of Obama’s backers and 24 percent of Edwards’s would be first-time caucus-goers. Previous attendance is one of the strongest indicators of who will vote.

I note with amusement that the same Anne E. Kornblut who got it so so wrong in my previous diary today is coauthor of the piece quoted above.


Carnac the Magnificent Says:

Your humble blogger was going to write a post about ‘second choices’ in the Primary race and how perhaps Edwards isn’t out of the running quite yet given he is likely the second choice of many primary voters.

Looking for the truth from prior years’ election cycles, there was evidence supporting this theory from the Republican side in 1999, with George W. Bush being the second choice of most primary voters that time around (bastages).

But then, I found an article written by Anne Kornblut for the Globe last cycle and said ‘screw it’.

Really, there is no way to predict this thing.

The President as Baseball Manager

In baseball, the objective truth is the best managers only allow your team to win three or four more games a year – out of a total of 162 games played during the regular season.

The athletes on the field are the ones who determine the outcome of the game. After all, there are only so many times you can pull the old ‘double switch’ to your advantage in nine innings.

If your pitchers are on their game, and your hitters do a good job of keeping their eye on the ball, you’ll have a good chance of winning on any given day.