Dow down 1000.

Here are the current Circuit Breaker Rules.

As you will certainly know by this time, the Senate has failed to invoke cloture on the Bridge Loan Bill by a 35 – 52 vote and Harry Reid has declared himself the failure he is and is adjourning the Senate for the holiday.

You can expect GM to declare bankruptcy by Monday and thousands of parts suppliers to do the same by Christmas.

The overnight markets in Asia are already tanking and you can expect selling pressure to move west with the dawn.  If Dow futures are not down over 400 points by opening bell I’ll eat my hat.

I expect it will go downhill from there.

Trading halts for 1 hour with a 1100 point drop before 2 pm.  If there is a 2200 point drop before 1 pm there will be a 2 hour halt.

If the DJIA loses 3350 points, regardless of time, the market will close.

This is a very real possibility.

If you have equity it’s too late to sell now, all you can do is hang on and see if things get better, but this is bad.

Very bad.

Late updates from Firedog Lake-

Auto Bill Fails: Market Bails By: Ian Welsh Thursday December 11, 2008 9:00 pm

White House May Just Lend Auto Companies the Money Through TARP By: Ian Welsh Thursday December 11, 2008 9:20 pm

Wire Business News Update below.

From Yahoo News Business

1 $14B auto bailout dies in Senate

By JULIE HIRSCHFELD DAVIS and KEN THOMAS, Associated Press Writer

33 mins ago

WASHINGTON – A bailout-weary Congress killed a $14 billion package to aid struggling U.S. automakers Thursday night after a partisan dispute over union wage cuts derailed a last-ditch effort to revive the emergency aid before year’s end.

Republicans, breaking sharply with President George W. Bush as his term draws to a close, refused to back federal aid for Detroit’s beleaguered Big Three without a guarantee that the United Auto Workers would agree by the end of next year to wage cuts to bring their pay into line with U.S. plants of Japanese carmakers. The UAW refused to do so before its current contract with the automakers expires in 2011.

The breakdown left the fate of the auto industry – and the 3 million jobs it touches – in limbo at a time of growing economic turmoil. General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC have said they could be weeks from collapse. Ford Motor Co. says it does not need federal help now, but its survival is far from certain.

2 Street expects gloomy retail, inventories data

By CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER, AP Economics Writer

2 hrs 12 mins ago

WASHINGTON – The government is expected to provide fresh evidence Friday that retailers are taking a hit as consumers continue to pull back amid what appears to be a deepening recession.

Wall Street economists expect retail sales in November fell 1.9 percent, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters.

That would be an improvement over October’s record 2.8 percent drop, but still the fifth straight monthly decline reported by the Commerce Department.

3 Asia stocks drop as Senate rejects US auto bailout

By STEPHEN WRIGHT, AP Business Writer

54 mins ago

BANGKOK, Thailand – Asian markets plunged Friday after a U.S. government rescue of Detroit’s ailing automakers collapsed in the Senate, intensifying fears about a protracted global slump.

More dire economic data from the U.S. – a vital export market – and news of deep job cuts at Bank of America also added to the gloom.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average tumbled 484.68 points, or 5.6 percent, to 8,235.87, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slid 6.7 percent to 14,577.67. South Korea’s Kospi fell 4.4 percent while markets in Singapore, Australia, China and India fell between 2 percent and 4 percent.

4 Ex-Nasdaq chair arrested on fraud charge in NYC

By LARRY NEUMEISTER, Associated Press Writer

Thu Dec 11, 11:19 pm ET

NEW YORK – A former Nasdaq stock market chairman was arrested on a securities fraud charge Thursday, accused of running a fraudulent investment business that lost at least $50 billion before he confessed to senior employees it was a “giant Ponzi scheme,” authorities said.

Bernard L. Madoff, his silver hair reflecting the lights of a federal courtroom, was released on $10 million bail secured by his signature and that of his wife. He declined to comment as he walked out of U.S. District Court in Manhattan.

Madoff, 70, the founder of Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, maintained a separate and secretive investment-advising business that served between 11 and 25 clients and had a total of about $17.1 billion in assets under management, prosecutors said.

5 GM trying to survive for a shot at Plan O – Obama

By TOM KRISHER, AP Auto Writer

Thu Dec 11, 11:41 pm ET

DETROIT – General Motors is saving every cent it can, from shutting down escalators at night to limiting workers’ choice of pens, in case it needs to fight to survive beyond year’s end and until a friendlier Washington takes over.

Yet even a truckload of penny-pinching might not be enough.

GM has already cut its U.S. work force by almost 80,000 people this decade, reducing it to 96,000, and it has idled five factories and laid off 11,000 domestic workers this year alone.

6 Chrysler execs say cash will run short in January

By TOM KRISHER, AP Auto Writer

Thu Dec 11, 11:48 pm ET

DETROIT – Chrysler LLC is nearing the minimum level of cash it needs to run the company and will have trouble paying bills after the first of the year, according to its chief financial officer.

In an interview with The Associated Press Thursday night, Vice Chairman Tom LaSorda and Chief Financial Officer Ron Kolka also said some parts suppliers and other vendors have demanded cash on delivery but the company is fending them off.

Chrysler has said its cash will drop to $2.5 billion by Dec. 31, the minimum needed to meet payroll, pay suppliers and run the company. With the U.S. sales slump expected to continue into January, one of the slowest sales months of the year, the company has little revenue coming in and must pay suppliers $7 billion every 45 days, Kolka said.

7 British credit card companies to ease rate hikes

By RAPHAEL G. SATTER, Associated Press Writer

1 hr 46 mins ago

LONDON – Credit card companies have agreed to stop the practice of abruptly raising the rates paid by their most vulnerable customers, the British government said Friday.

The credit card industry had been under pressure from Britain’s center-left government to change the practice of “risk-based repricing,” which targets those who are in danger of defaulting on their loans by jacking up interest rates on troubled borrowers by as much as 10 percentage points or more.

The U.K. has the highest level of credit card debt of 14 European countries studied by the Datamonitor research group, and the government is hoping to avoid a rash of personal bankruptcies and credit problems that could deepen the effects of the economic downturn.

8 Retailer KB Toys files for bankruptcy protection

By MAE ANDERSON, AP Retail Writer

Thu Dec 11, 3:33 pm ET

NEW YORK – In another sign of the grim holiday season, KB Toys filed for bankruptcy protection for the second time in four years on Thursday and plans to begin going-out-of business sales at its stores immediately.

The 86-year-old company said in a filing that its debt is “directly attributable to a sudden and sharp decline in consumer sales” because of the poor economy.

That a toy retailer filed for bankruptcy just before Christmas shows how bleak things have become, since such stores make up to half of their sales during the holidays. But analysts expect toy sales this holiday season to be flat or down slightly from last year’s total of $10.4 billion, according to market research firm NPD Group, because consumers are cutting back amid the recession.

9 Procter & Gamble trims fiscal 2Q sales outlook

By DAN SEWELL, AP Business Writer

Thu Dec 11, 2:26 pm ET

NEW YORK – Procter & Gamble Co. said Thursday it will miss a second-quarter sales target as the consumer products company acknowledged it isn’t immune to the recession.

The maker of such products as Tide detergent, Pampers diapers and Gillette shavers, P&G said organic sales – that is, sales not linked to acquisitions – won’t meet the 4 percent to 6 percent growth goal in the quarter ending in December. But the Cincinnati-based company still expects organic sales to grow between 4 percent and 6 percent over its fiscal 2009, which ends in June.

P&G leaders, in a meeting with Wall Street analysts, said households, retailers and distributors are cutting back worldwide.

10 Stocks tank, yen surges as U.S. auto bailout fails

By Kevin Plumberg, Reuters

18 mins ago

HONG KONG (Reuters) – Asian stocks slumped more than 5 percent on Friday after the collapse of a $14 billion rescue plan for ailing U.S. automakers threatened to further damage the world’s biggest economy, sending investors scrambling to the safety of government bonds and the yen, which hit a 13-year high.

Major European stock markets were expected to fall as much as 5.3 percent in early trade, according to UK financial bookmakers, as the unraveling rescue plan worsened investor sentiment around the world. (.EU)

The suddenness of the move in the dollar/yen, which pushed the U.S. dollar below the sensitive level of 90 yen, fed concern that Japanese officials would enter the market to stabilize their currency.

11 Treasury sees TARP funds for financial sector

By Glenn Somerville, Reuters

1 hr 59 mins ago

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Treasury Department maintains that a $700-billion bailout fund approved by Congress is best used in trying to stabilize the nation’s troubled financial sector and a spokeswoman indicated on Thursday night that was unlikely to change.

After the U.S. Senate failed late on Thursday night to reach a last-ditch compromise to help troubled U.S. automakers with $14 billion in bridge loans, calls swelled for Treasury to tap its so-called TARP, or Troubled Asset Relief Program, funds to help the auto industry.

“I’d be shocked if the administration didn’t dip into TARP,” an unidentified senior Democratic aide said. “That is the only option now to keep these companies afloat.”

12 Lehman brokerage trustee seeks to probe collapse

Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 8:51 pm ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The trustee handling the liquidation of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc’s (LEHMQ.PK) brokerage unit asked a U.S. bankruptcy court on Thursday for the power to issue subpoenas to obtain documents and information from current and former employees and officers.

In papers filed in U.S. bankruptcy court in Manhattan, Trustee James Giddens said he needed “immediate and complete access” to information from the company and the current and former employees, to investigate the events and circumstances that led to Lehman’s collapse.

The law regarding brokerage liquidations, known as the Securities Investor Protection Act, specifically allows the trustee to “investigate the acts, conduct, property, liabilities and financial condition,” of the company, the court papers said.

13 JPMorgan CEO warns of "terrible" fourth quarter

Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 7:55 pm ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The chief executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) said on Thursday the U.S. bank has had a “terrible” November and December, blaming the “normal culprits:” mortgages, credit, and high yield bonds and loans.

Looking ahead, the CEO said U.S. housing prices — which spawned the current credit crisis — could fall another 20 percent.

At the CNBC interview, he said that, “if we’re lucky,” the market could start to recover after two more quarters.

14 Under pressure, private banks move onshore

By Lisa Jucca, Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 8:44 pm ET

VADUZ, Liechtenstein (Reuters) – Foreign-registered cars dot the underground car park of Liechtenstein’s biggest bank, where elevators sweep visitors to top-floor corridors of private meeting rooms.

Liechtenstein, a tiny principality of 35,000 people nestled between Austria and Switzerland, still discreetly advises the very wealthy around mahogany tables, even though it recently relaxed its bank secrecy laws under pressure from the United States.

Now, thanks to a U.S. tax probe into Swiss bank UBS (UBSN.VX)and other pressure, a quiet revolution is brewing in the $7 trillion world of offshore banking, as banks realize that holding untaxed money can ultimately sting them.

15 Wells Fargo to take $4 billion Q4 charge: Bove

Reuters

2 hrs 15 mins ago

(Reuters) – Ladenburg Thalmann’s Richard Bove cut his price target on Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) and said the bank will take a charge of $40 billion in the fourth quarter related to the acquisition of Wachovia Corp (WB.N).

Shares of Wells Fargo were down 9 percent at $26.56 in afternoon trade on the New York Stock Exchange.

Bove expects Wells Fargo to post a profit of $2 per share in 2008, as the charge will not be reflected on the income statement. He also said, “In addition there is apparently another $11 billion in charges due to write downs that will not be shown on the income statement either.”

16 GM board hired advisers to consider bankruptcy

Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 7:26 pm ET

DETROIT (Reuters) – General Motors Corp hired outside advisers to weigh bankruptcy, but the board determined that a filing was not an option for the struggling automaker, a GM spokesman said on Thursday.

“We said all along that the board had considered bankruptcy and had concluded it was not a viable option,” GM spokesman Tony Cervone said.

“The board continues to meet frequently and to weigh all options and has retained appropriate advisers for all contingencies.”

17 United Tech ’09 forecast could point to flat profit

By Scott Malone, Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 9:04 pm ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Diversified U.S. manufacturer United Technologies Corp (UTX.N) set a 2009 earnings forecast that at its midpoint would represent no growth from its estimate for 2008.

The world’s largest maker of elevators and air conditioners is planning for continued weakness in world construction markets. The continued recovery of the dollar against the euro also will hurt its results.

“We expect the global recession to continue through most of ’09,” Louis Chenevert, chief executive officer, told investors in New York. “What’s remarkable in this environment is the speed at which we have seen the decline of the global economy. This is something that none of us have seen before.”

18 Jobless claims hit 26-year high, exports tumble

By Lucia Mutikani, Reuters

Thu Dec 11, 5:07 pm ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits surged to a 26-year high last week, government data showed on Thursday, as employers tightened their belts to help weather what many fear will be a deep, long recession.

A separate report showed the U.S. trade deficit swelled unexpectedly in October as weak economies around the world imported less from the United States.

Analysts said the export pillar that had helped to support the fragile economy earlier in the year was now crumbling and many said the economy appeared headed for an even deeper contraction in the fourth quarter than they had thought.

19 Markets tumble as US auto bailout collapses

AFP

16 mins ago

WASHINGTON (AFP) – Marathon negotiations collapsed in the US Senate on a plan to rescue automakers on the brink of bankruptcy, battering Asian stock markets and sending the dollar to a 13-year low Friday.

The European Union was also divided on a proposed stimulus package as bad economic news kept mounting, with Bank of America slashing up to 35,000 jobs to weather the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Hours of late-night negotiations among US senators on salvaging Detroit’s Big Three collapsed late Thursday, despite news that General Motors had hired lawyers for a potential bankruptcy filing.

20 Boeing delays 787 Dreamliner deliveries to 2010

by Veronica Smith, AFP

Thu Dec 11, 11:27 pm ET

WASHINGTON (AFP) – US aerospace giant Boeing delayed the maiden flight of the 787 Dreamliner plane and pushed back first deliveries to early 2010 because of production and labor problems.

The six-month-postponement was the latest setback for the Dreamliner project that was launched in 2004 with a record order from All Nippon Airways.

Now the Japanese launch customer will not receive delivery until the first quarter of 2010, roughly two years later than initially promised.

21 ECB’s Weber says markets will have to wait for next rate cut

AFP

30 mins ago

FRANKFURT (AFP) – Influential European Central Bank governor Axel Weber issued a warning to the financial markets on Friday not to expect more rapid cuts in the eurozone’s benchmark lending rate.

“We should be prudent if we reach interest rate territory at some point that we have not explored yet,” Weber, who is also the German central bank governor, told the financial daily Boersen Zeitung.

The ECB has never taken its main rate below 2.0 percent, he noted.

22 Tycoons close businesses after British island poll: reports

by Alice Ritchie, AFP

Thu Dec 11, 8:32 pm ET

LONDON (AFP) – Tycoons the Barclay brothers closed all their businesses on the Channel Island of Sark after their favoured candidates failed to get elected in landmark polls, reports and staff said.

Voters on Europe’s last feudal territory elected a full complement of candidates to Sark’s parliament for the first time in nearly five centuries on Wednesday, where previously it was made up primarily of unelected landowners.

The Barclay brothers, the proprietors of the Daily Telegraph newspaper who own land in Sark, were a major driving force behind the constitutional changes, and wanted them to go further.

23 Climate change ‘largely ignored’ by many big firms: report

AFP

1 hr 44 mins ago

SAN FRANCISCO (AFP) – Corporate America is making progress on addressing climate change but many company executives are “largely ignoring” the issue when it comes to making business decisions, a report released Thursday said.

Global technology titan IBM scored highest, 79 on a scale of 100, when it came to the fight against Earth-warming gases, according to a report titled “Corporate Governance and Climate Change: Consumer and Technology Companies.”

Britain-based grocery giant Tesco was ranked second most climate-conscious firm with 78 points and US computer maker Dell was third with 77.

24 Google releases finished version of Chrome browser

AFP

Thu Dec 11, 9:36 pm ET

SAN FRANCISCO (AFP) – Google yanked the “beta” test label off Chrome, quickly putting a stamp of approval on its Web browser released in a direct challenge to Microsoft’s ubiquitous Internet Explorer.

The California online search titan — known for leaving new software offerings in beta, or test, modes for what seems like ages — says Chrome proved its merits, and in a relatively brief 100 days.

Google’s free web-based Gmail service still bears a “beta” label even though it was launched nearly five years ago.

27 comments

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  1. Direct your pitchforks and torches at W, Republicans, the Versailles Villagers (including her Bartiromoness), and Harry Reid and his gutless wonders.

  2. vewy bad!

    Nikkei down 5.6% – shit meet fan.  

    • robodd on December 12, 2008 at 07:40

    These guys are really begging for blood on the streets.

    When will their bubble burst??

  3. …decided to take this situation from ‘slow burn’ to ‘catastrophic free fall’ overnight.  

    May the traglodites go over the falls with the rest of us.  Prepare to hold your breath for as long as you can.  Don’t breath while underwater.  Have faith all you right thinking liberals.

    See you when we re-surface!

  4. You couldn’t just delude us with some kind of happy news?

  5. . . . for those of us who have always enjoyed watching Wall Street tank, as a spectator sport.  It has to collapse, sooner or later, before it can find a bottom and begin to rebuild.  If anybody in Washington is thinking rationally right now, they must have decided to make the capitulation sooner rather than later.

  6. …and staying up all night watching Asia.

    Or maybe I should just ask Caribou Barbie what she sees from her bedroom window.

    Goodnight.  See you tomorrow…

    Red sky at morning, sailor take warning…

    • pfiore8 on December 12, 2008 at 09:03

    financial markets with no tangible products. we can reward them for fraud and selling fucking air.

    but when there are millions of jobs of ordinary people on the line… we fuck it up.

    and that’s just the point, isn’t it? like NCLB was to destroy public schools. and Blackwater and Iraq to break the military. and medicare to destroy health care.

    maybe there is really only one explanation for this destruction. the fucking devil. seriously. who else could have set such an agenda? and continue on this path? because even those wanting complete and total control would leave something left to control.

    Obama has to step in and strong arm some people, including Cheney.

  7. Pier One Imports.

    Minor inside source. Outside research indicates stock at 45 cents.

    One small retail signpost.

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