1.9%

(noon. – promoted by ek hornbeck)

1.9%

According to the website 538.com there is now a 98.1% chance that Senator Barack Obama will become the next President of the United States of America as compared to a 1.9% chance that Senator John McCain will emerge victorious in tomorrow’s national election.

To put that into perspective, there is also a 1.9% chance that, tomorrow, you will spontaneously start to secrete massive quantities of pure maple syrup from your sweat glands, allowing you retire from your job in order to finance that cozy bed-and-breakfast in the Hamptons.

Similarly, there is a 1.9% chance…

…that you’ll wake up tomorrow to realize that this life you THOUGHT you were living is actually a dream, and that DREAM… y’know, the one where you rode on the back of a flying buffalo with Geroge Harrison, Rahm Emanuel and the better looking of the Olsen Twins… THAT’S ACTUALLY REAL LIFE.

There’s a 1.9% chance the polar ice caps AREN’T melting, but instead the earth is getting larger, making those ice masses LOOK smaller. (Think of it as God fitting our planet with a pair of vertically lined pants.)

There’s a 1.9% chance that the infamous “Whitey” tape… you remember that don’t you… actually exists and that the PUMA crowd, being smarter then us by half, is waiting for the EXACT RIGHT MOMENT TO SPRING IT ON THE WORLD, which, in their deviously brilliant minds, is 11PM EST tomorrow night.

There is a 1.9% chance that if you follow that rainbow you’ll end up finding Dennis Kucinich guarding a pot of gold in his brand new, Neiman Marcus, lime-green Lederhosen.

There’s a 1.9% chance that everyone you know will suddenly start calling you Bill, unless your name is Bill, in which case they’ll start calling you Barbara-Ann, which will be fine with you because it will go so well with your new job as elephant trainer with the circus… (unless you ARE an elephant trainer, in which case you will start being a periodontist).

Hell, there’s a LOT better than 1.9% chance that your 2% milk is REALLY skim… labeling mistake at the factory… but know that at 1.9% President John McCain is still 19.1% less likely, were it legal, than another term of 20% approval rating President George W. Bush.

Or, if you had standard deck of 52 cards with one Joker, and it was randomly shuffled, and you asked McCain to pick one blindfolded, he’d have to pick the Joker to win.

Anything other than the Joker, and Obama wins.

(And, yes, Governor Palin would be the joker.)

Now, 1.9% is still infinitely greater than 0.0%, so… this job must still be finished, but tonight… have a glass of wine… or a slow-steeped cup of tea… or the BIG piece of cake (yeah, the corner piece with all that fucking icing) and ENJOY FULLY because I QUITE PROMISE YOU THAT WERE THE NUMBERS REVERSED we’d know in our hearts, as the Republicans do, that what’s done is essentially done.

Its OK to exhale now… I promise… because worrying never, ever solved a damn thing… and, this time, where tomorrow is concerned, we’re in very good hands.

15 comments

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    • Edger on November 4, 2008 at 01:42

    the GOP nomination for 2012.

    Mwah.

    Hah..

    Ha…

  1. I have received 6 robocalls tonight so far, and I live in NY-20.  One of them was from Hillary Clinton.  Her voice sounded a little husky.  One of them was about some complicated thing that I couldn’t focus on.  The speaker was annoyed.  But I digress.  Evidently, these folks do not yet know that it is o.v.e.r.

    So, since you asked, my recommendation? You did, didn’t you?

    A glass or two or three of a nice California Cabernet, a wet doobie, a few minutes watching MSNBC, reading OPOL’s essay, reading a great book, conversation or other relationship with one’s significant other, and getting up early to go to pull the correct levers at the polling place.  It is so simple.  Really.

    It is done, it is done, it is done.  Thank you, thank you thank you.  It is done.

  2. I think we should all vote today anyway, before getting too smug.  

  3. I was #370 at 11:00.  No long lines, but lots of people–more voting “booths” were set up–we have optical scan machines here, so you fill in the circles on the ballot & the machines scan them in–works out pretty well.  The turnout was bigger than I’ve seen since moving here.  

  4. from Nate at fivethirtyeight:

    Win percentage for Obama…98.9%

    Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes….

    We also project Obama to win the popular vote by 6.1 points; his lead is slightly larger than that in the polls now, but our model accounts for the fact that candidates with large leads in the polls typically underperform their numbers by a small margin on Election Day.

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