I lean Edwards, but will vote for the Democratic nominee. Of the current field, Obama would be my second choice. I’ve given money to Edwards, Obama, and Dodd. I like Obama more than Hillary, less than Edwards at this point.
I don’t believe in candidate tear-down diaries (hell, I barely believe in diaries at all lately), but I have some concerns/fears about an Obama candidacy and really want to be convinced that my fears can be put aside. Especially in light of recent polling.
As you can probably guess, my concerns involve electability, especially as it relates to race, experience, and temperament. I would like to have a constructive conversation on these issues in a political context, but on showing this diary to fellow Kossacks and Docudharmentarians, I’ve been told it will be interpreted as a hit piece. That’s not my intention, but I can’t control how readers perceive my writing or slant. I also threw in some general campaign questions I have if anyone’s interested.
Here are my various concerns and I hope some constructive discussion evolves from them.
On a head to head basis, how do you think Obama measures up against various republican candidates (with regard to electability)? For example, I don’t think the “Obama lacks foreign policy experience” attack has traction against Huckabee (although executive experience is another issue, perhaps).
Do you think his somewhat mild temperament will be a problem? (I see this as being a problem against Giuliani, but not Romney or Huckabee, if Americans default to the typical on the national security question. I also think, even though they’ve argued a bit and McCain and Obama are not dissimilar in temperament. Now that I think on it, George Bush has a fairly mild campaign temperament, so maybe it’s no worry).
Will America accept Michelle Obama, a strong black woman, as a first lady? (I don’t know, I don’t have a lot of faith in my fellow citizens on this one.) I don’t know how involved she’s been in Iowa and would like to hear about it.
I haven’t looked at head to head national race statistics recently and I know that Obama garnered a great mix of support from different political demographics in his senate race. But he was essentially unopposed. Did Republicans vote for him or did they stay home? Seems to me that if
Republicans actually voted for him rather than stay home, that says something.
What’s you theory on how he’s pulled ahead of Clinton in Iowa? Superior organization/staff? The last debate series? Poor Clinton campaigning? This also begs a question about my favorite candidate to date, Edwards, i.e., why hasn’t he gained ground? (Sigh, it’s sort of rhetorical).
Do you think second choice voters in Iowa will go Edwards or Obama? Is any campaign doing county by county polling rather than statewide polling? Seems like the real numbers are county by county.
I have fears about Obama’s electability, but I recognize that in the last election, many bought into the idea that Kerry was the most electable of the field and in retrospect, I think we were wrong.
Anyway, these are my concerns and I’d like to be convinced that they won’t be a problem in the general election, so your thoughts and opinions are welcome.
cross-posted at Daily Kos